Leverkusen (@1.7) vs Hoffenheim (@4.0)
22-08-2019

Our Prediction:

Leverkusen will win

Leverkusen – Hoffenheim Match Prediction | 22-08-2019

Both Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen are hoping to finish the season among the top 6 teams in Bundesliga, which is why their duel on Friday evening is of utmost importance. It takes place on Hoffenheims ground, the Wirsol Rhein-Neckar Arena in Sinsheim, where this team has lost 7 out of 10 previous duels with Bayer Leverkusen. Read Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction and betting tips to see why this game is bound to bring us a lot of excitement.

With the opponents under great pressure to perform, the hosts problems are about to be compounded. They have a good frontline that consistently provides goals, but curiously, they perform well on the road than at home. Hoffenheim will have to deal with the mental block of having lost the majority of their head-to-head games against this team, and that too at home.

Head to Head

Such numbers tell us that Nagelsmanns men have been ticking along nicely at home, creating more and conceding less than their opponents. In addition to a reasonable effort on their travels when last in action, Hoffenheim come into this game off the back of several good performance in front of a home crowd. Fridays hosts have now won each of their last two at Rhein-Neckar-Arena, while theyve outperformed their opponents in terms of expected goals in each of their last three, posting respectable figures of 2.34, 2.99 and 1.25 for, conceding figures of 1.08, 0.35 and 0.6.

Hoffenheim themselves did manage to keep a clean sheet last weekend, but that was at home to the Bundesligas weakest offense (Stuttgart), and before that they hadnt kept a clean sheet across any competition in the 18/19 campaign in fact, both teams scored in all 13 of these fixtures. Well, its hard to judge which way this will go, but there has to be some value in this being a high scoring game. So what is worth backing in this one? Leverkusen have kept just three clean sheets from their 13 competitive outings so far in the 18/19 campaign (9 Bundesliga, 3 Europa League and 1 DFB Pokal), and most of those were against much weaker offenses than the visitors. For starters, both Leverkusen and Hoffenheim have a really strong balance of being able to score goals, but are lacking in the defensive department a good starter for goals at both ends if you fancy that.

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The visitors did beat Hannover in their last away match, though their performance wasnt without imperfections, as they conceded twice. In contrast, Hoffenheim have shipped an average of just 1.15 at home. In fact, conceding has been a bit of a problem for Leverkusen on the road this season. Peter Boszs men have conceded in all but two of their last ten travelling matches, while theyve conceded a slightly worrying average of 1.64 expected goals. While Hoffenheim have generally looked solid at home in recent times, Leverkusen have been very hit and miss on their travels.

Coming through the youth ranks at Sparta Prague and gaining some first team experience during a loan spell with Viktoria Zizkov, the right-sided defender was finally able to show what he is capable of during the 2012/2013 season and he didnt need a lot of time to make the next step in his career. Pavel Kaderabek is a Czech Republic defender born on 25 April 1992, who has enjoyed a bright start to his professional career.

Peter Boszs men have conceded in all but two of their last ten travelling matches, while theyve conceded a slightly worrying average of 1.64 expected goals. While Hoffenheim have generally looked solid at home in recent times, Leverkusen have been very hit and miss on their travels. In contrast, Hoffenheim have shipped an average of just 1.15 at home. In fact, conceding has been a bit of a problem for Leverkusen on the road this season. The visitors did beat Hannover in their last away match, though their performance wasnt without imperfections, as they conceded twice.

SOCCER SHINE

Leverkusen have averaged 1.62 on the road. A lack of defensive solidity has been very apparent when Leverkusen have played away from home of late and it could be their shakiness at the back that allows Hoffenheim to profit on Friday. Not only have the hosts, whove conceded an average of 1.08 goals at home, given less away at home than Boszs men, whove shipped an average of 1.62, on the road, but the hosts have also tended to create more going the other way. As things stand, Hoffenheim boast an average of 2.39 expected goals for at home.