Ram/Salisbury (@1.3) vs Pouille/Struff (@3.2)
03-10-2019

Our Prediction:

Ram/Salisbury will win

Ram/Salisbury – Pouille/Struff Match Prediction | 03-10-2019 21:00

When you score a 3/6 aces to double faults ration, it's usually not good enough on grass, but he did such a great job with his return that it didn't matter in the end. It just shows you that Danil had to hit it full-force in the corner to get an easy point off his serve. The match was really good overall. His next opponent will be Lucas Pouille who had a more challenging task. And he was. Pouille wasn't bothered by it and just played some tennis. Sun was going down and some parts of the court had some moisture on it. Medvedev thought it's too dangerous to play and after slipping a couple of times in those spots, he spent the rest of the match arguing with the officials about suspending the match and continuing it tomorrow. Lucas adapted better to the changing playing conditions and that is why he was victorious in the end. He kept Medvedev to measly 61% points won behind his serve, despite his 19 aces. Many great rallies, highlight moves, hard-fought points... After eliminating dangerous grass court player in Feliciano Lopez, he ran into #3 seed Danil Medvedev in the second round. Granted, the Russian came to Stuttgart in a very questionable form, but still being considered as a real threat in these type of conditions. If not, Pouille made him work really hard for it. They really went at each other and not much was dividing them after two sets of tennis, with composure being that deciding factor in the third set.

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Another day, another strong performance by Jan-Lennard Struff. Even though Kecmanovic tested him in some longer rallies with quality counter-punching, Jan had an answer for everything. Kecmanovic is no pushover by any stretch of the imagination. But, credit to Struff for finding his best tennis when it most mattered. He faced two break opportunities early in sets. He's shown that by not being giving up after set down vs Kohlschreiber. Struff feasted on his weaknesses (second serve, forehand) and punished them with no mercy. He terrorized Miomir's serve which was expected, winning 45% of returning points and 41% of returning points vs 1st serves which is a crazy stat for grass courts. Struff denied both of those break chances, while convert 4/8 of his own. But he was simply outmatched here. Mostly doing it with brilliant ball-striking, he proved once again that he is in very good form at the moment. Once Kecmanovic was threatening to break back to 2-all in the first set and the next time, he was about to jump into a 3-1 lead in the second set. The final result is not telling us the whole story, because the match was actually a little bit closer than that 6-2 6-2.

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A trip to the quarterfinals is on the line as fourth seed Nikoloz Basilashvili takes on Marton Fucsovics. Basilashvili has not had a ton of success on grass in the past, but could be excited about having a fresh start away from the clay. Basilashvili has had an on-and-off season, and this will be his first match of the season on the grass. The match was closer than expected, given the surface, but Fucsovics did well to win that match. Marton Fucsovics picked up a tight two-set win over Jaume Munar in the opening round of Stuttgart. He will be looking to avenge a first round loss at the French Open.

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It should be very close, as both player serve very well and can take advantage of short balls. Raonic leads the head to head 4-2, and has won four matches in a row against Tsonga (not including an exhibition match). These two have never played a grass court match that was not an exhibition.

Struff entered this tournament with a putrid 6-17 grass court record and has lost to Moelleker (rank - 303) last year in the first round here. He is hitting the ball with so much power and precision, that it's going to be difficult for any of these 2nd tier opponents to stop him. His confidence at the moment is through the roof. He was not supposed to get very far in this tournament, but as I was saying earlier, the betting market was not aware that he had a bad record on grass because he was not that good of a tennis player and not because he would favor other surfaces over grass.

Fucsovics leads the head to head 4-2, and has won two of the three matches the two have contested this season. However, Basilashvili won the most recent meeting in Rome and the only meeting on grass, at Wimbledon in 2015. Basilashviis first-strike, power baseline tennis, theoretically, should translate well to the grass. Fucsovics has played well on grass in the past, but could be a little overpowered by Basilashvili on this surface.