Xiaodi You (@4.4) vs Jelena Ostapenko (@1.22)
10-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Jelena Ostapenko will win

Xiaodi You – Jelena Ostapenko Match Prediction | 10-09-2019 06:00

Cornet has already halted one 2018 unbeaten run after defeating Julia Goerges and will be looking for another here. Sam: A total contrast of on-court styles as the ice-cool Elise Mertens takes on the emotional but entertaining Alize Cornet. Mertens fightback from 5-0 down against Gavrilova in the first set demonstrated a steely grit that will see her advance past her geographical neighbor.

Given that Sharapova has been absent for a large portion of Ostapenkos career, it is no surprise that these two have met just once. After dropping the first set in a lengthy tiebreaker, the Russian fought back to win 6-7 6-4 7-5. That match came earlier this year in the Italian Open quarterfinals where Sharapova managed to get over the line just. That match, however, occurred on clay, Sharapovas favoured surface in recent years.

Nonetheless, expect many points in this match to be finished relatively quickly as each player looks to overpower the other. Kerber is a capable defender, and will make her opponent search for the lines more so than usual, with the German more than able to turn defence into attack. That is particularly true off her forehand, with Kerber possessing one of the best running forehands in the game, which she displayed with a fine winner against Liu.

How do they match up?

This match should provide a very engaging watch for the fans in New York. Both players will go for their shots and a high number of winners and unforced errors seems almost certain based on how they have played so far. But Sharapovas serve has been a cause for concern, and that should give Ostapenko a decisive advantage. This one will go to three sets, but expect Ostapenko to get it done in a tight deciding set.

Nonetheless, both have impressed me this week so far, and this could be a good contest between two players who see an opportunity to put a good Grand Slam run together. James:I feel guilty when predicting this match, as I wrongly predicted both of these players second-round matches. I am giving Mertens the edge because I think that she has the mental edge over Cornet, but then again, with these two, anything can happen.

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The world No.5 struggled through her second round match and will want to lay down a marker in this one, to both herself and her opponents. James:What a journey it has been for teenager Marta Kostyuk so far. The Ukrainian has overcome the odds to reach the third round at this years Australian Open, but Svitolina will prove a step too far for the fifteen-year-old.

Jelena Ostapenko vs Maria Sharapova: US Open third round preview...

Perhaps unsurprisingly considering Ostapenko hasnt been on the Tour for long, this will be the pairs first meeting. Ostapenko only competed in her first Grand Slam event in 2015, but had a fine year at the Majors last season, reaching at least the third round at all four and winning the French. Kerber disappointed last year, but does have two Slams to her name having bookended 2016 with victories in Melbourne and New York, whilst also reaching the Wimbledon final.

Marta Kostyuk has been breathtaking and, at just 15, can play with plenty of freedom as she has nothing to lose. Regardless of how tight she can get at Slams, this gives her enough of an edge to win. That said, Elina Svitolina presumably has a big advantage that she knows at least a little bit about how her countrywoman plays. Sam: Not every fairytale can have a happy ending.

Who will come out on top? Ostapenko, the 10th seed, is a rising star hoping to add to the Grand Slam title she won at Roland Garros last year. Jelena Ostapenko and Maria Sharapova may be at vastlydifferent stages of their careers, but both have title ambitions at the US Open. Sharapova, the 22nd seed, in contrast, is a former US Open winner and five-time Grand Slam champion, still fighting her way back from the WADA ban which saw her miss large parts of 2016 and 2017.

Kerber hasnt really been challenged yet during the course of this tournament. She started off with a solid 7-5 6-3 win over Vera Zvonareva, before recovering from a set down to beat Claire Lui, last year the champion in the juniors at Wimbledon, 3-6 6-2 6-4 in the second round. She hasnt lost a set since, beating Natalie Osaka 6-2 6-4 in the third round, Belinda Bencic 6-3 7-6 in the fourth, and 14th seed Daria Kasatkina 6-3 7-5 in the quarterfinals.

EXPERT PREDICTION FOR Caroline Garcia vs Jelena Ostapenko

She beat wildcard Katy Dunne 6-3 7-6 to start the tournament, before disposing of Kirsten Flipkens 6-1 6-3 in the second round. She hasnt yet dropped a set during her five matches, but is also yet to face a seeded player. In the third round, she crushed Vitalia Diatchenko 6-0 6-4, before comfortably beating Aliaksandra Sasnovich 7-6 6-0. Ostapenko has had an interesting tournament. She then conquered #33 Dominika Cibulkova with a 7-5 6-4 win.

Ostapenko, in particular, is extremely aggressive, and is renowned for her high-risk high-reward game style. This will be an entertaining match to watch, with both players aggressive baseliners with the propensity to hit winners. Indeed, the Latvian made headlines last year at the Championships when it was revealed her forehands were faster, on average, than then defending champion Andy Murrays.

But the Russian has been less error-prone, with 28 fewer unforced errors to her name. She has hit 19 double faults in her two US Open matches so far, and a similar performance from the line in this match will make it difficult for her to beat a player of Ostapenkos quality. If she can keep her game tight against Ostapenko, she will have a good chance of claiming the win. Sharapovas serve may have a large say on the outcome of this match.